Comparison of Results from the BARCODE1 Study and Contemporary Prostate Cancer Screening Trials.

European urology oncology
Authors
Keywords
Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have generated considerable interest as a means of personalizing prostate cancer (PC) screening by stratifying individuals according to their genetic risk. The single-arm BARCODE1 study recently showed that PRS-based screening detected more PCs than prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The absence of a comparator arm limits the interpretability of this finding. We compared outcomes from BARCODE1 with those from two contemporaneous, large-scale screening trials-Göteborg-2 and ProScreen-that used MRI with or without a PC blood marker to risk-stratify men for biopsy. When standardized to 10 000 men tested, BARCODE1 biopsied more men (704 vs 386 and 338), diagnosed more low-grade PCs (126 vs 103 and 41), and detected fewer high-grade PCs (155 vs 178 and 165) versus Göteborg-2 and ProScreen. Combining PRS with PSA or MRI in BARCODE1 reduced the detection of high-grade PCs by 50-75% in comparison to Göteborg-2 and ProScreen. These findings reflect the limited risk discrimination of PRSs and their inability, unlike MRI and blood-based markers, to preferentially detect aggressive disease. PRS-based PC screening underperforms relative to current best practice and, on the basis of BARCODE1 data, should not be adopted in clinical practice.

Year of Publication
2025
Journal
European urology oncology
Date Published
12/2025
ISSN
2588-9311
DOI
10.1016/j.euo.2025.12.013
PubMed ID
41478782
Links