Primer: Hamilton's rule makes no prediction and cannot be tested empirically

Program for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University

Hamilton's rule is a well-known concept in evolutionary biology. It states that a social trait is favored by natural selection if BR>C, where B is the benefit for the recipient, C the cost for the donor and R the relatedness between donor and recipient. It is often perceived as a statement that makes predictions about natural selection in situations where interactions occur between genetic relatives. It turns out that this view is incorrect. A simple mathematical analysis reveals that "exact and general'' formulation of Hamilton's rule, which is widely endorsed by its proponents, is not a consequence of natural selection and not even a statement specifically about biology. Instead it is a relationship among slopes of linear regression that holds for any suitable data set. It follows that the general form of Hamilton's rule makes no predictions and cannot be tested empirically.

MIA Talks Search