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Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (pTau217) is an excellent biomarker of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology, but it remains uncertain whether pTau217 can predict amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau accumulation prior to Aβ positron emission tomography (PET) positivity. Here, we leverage data from a well-characterized prospective cohort of cognitively unimpaired older adults to examine mass spectrometry-based plasma %pTau217 (pTau217/non-phosphorylated-Tau217×100) relative to changes in Aβ/tau PET and cognition. A higher baseline %pTau217 was associated with faster Aβ and tau accumulation on PET, which then led to greater cognitive decline. Among individuals Aβ PET-negative at baseline, higher %pTau217 levels presaged increases in Aβ and tau PET signals. Together, our results suggest that very low %pTau217 in cognitively unimpaired older adults is associated with a minimal risk of AD pathology accumulation and cognitive decline.